Americans More Optimistic on Job of President and Congress

NEW YORK, NY– A new year often brings resolutions and hopes for a new beginning. This year for many Americans the new year seems to have also brought a renewed sense of optimism towards the President, the direction of the country and, to a lesser degree, even Congress.  When asked to rate the overall job President Obama is doing, over two in five Americans (44%) give him positive ratings and just over half (56%) give him negative marks. This is better than in December when just 36% gave the President positive marks and 64% gave him negative ratings.

These are some of the results of The Harris Poll of 2,566 adults surveyed online between January 17 and 24, 2011 by Harris Interactive. Please note this survey was conducted before President Obama delivered his State of the Union address.

There are some interesting differences in the President’s job ratings. Easterners and Southerners are the most differing in their views with those in the East being split down the middle as half give him positive ratings (50%) and half give him negative marks (50%). Southerners, on the other hand, are still most negative as 60% give the President negative ratings. There is also an educational difference with three in five of those with a high school or less education (61%) giving the President negative marks on his job while three in five of those with a post graduate degree (62%) give him positive ratings.

With the new Congress now sworn in, there is a small uptick in their ratings as well. Last month 11% gave them positive ratings while 89% gave Congress negative marks. This month 16% of Americans give Congress positive ratings and 84% give them negative ones. Interestingly, Republicans may now have control of one chamber, but that isn’t positively affecting Republicans’ views. Just 8% of Republicans give Congress positive ratings compared to 10% of Independents and 25% of Democrats.

There is also some optimism in the way the country is going. Almost two in five Americans (37%) now say it is going in the right direction while 63% say it is going off on the wrong track. Last month, less than three in ten (29%) said things were going in the right direction and 71% believed they were going off on the wrong track.

When it comes to the issues that the government needs to address, over one-third of Americans (35%) say health care, the first time this has popped to the top of the list in months.  However, the rest of the top five all make it clear one thing is still on the minds of Americans—the economy. On the list of the most important issues, after health care is employment/jobs (33%), the economy (24%), budget/government spending issues (13%), and national debt/deficit (12%).

So What?

Americans seem to be more positive and the question now becomes how the State of the Union address changes things. President Obama is now at his highest approval ratings since October, 2009 and even Congress is at their “highest” point since April of last year. This may be the start of things turning around, but one month does not a trend make.

TABLE 1

PRESIDENT OBAMA’S JOB RATING – TREND

“How would you rate the overall job President Barack Obama is doing?”

Base: All adults

2009
Mar April May June Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec
% % % % % % % % %
POSITIVE 55 58 59 54 51 49 45 43 41
Excellent 17 18 17 14 11 11 10 9 7
Pretty good 38 40 42 39 39 38 35 33 33
NEGATIVE 45 42 41 46 49 51 55 57 59
Only fair 27 26 25 25 25 25 27 29 30
Poor 18 15 16 21 24 26 28 29 30
2010 2011
Jan Mar April May June Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan
% % % % % % % % % % %
POSITIVE 40 41 41 42 39 40 38 37 38 36 44
Excellent 9 9 9 10 6 9 9 8 8 7 10
Pretty good 31 32 31 32 33 31 29 29 30 28 34
NEGATIVE 60 59 59 58 61 60 62 63 62 64 56
Only fair 30 28 26 28 29 26 28 30 29 31 28
Poor 30 31 33 30 32 34 34 33 33 34 29

Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding

TABLE 2

PRESIDENT OBAMA’S JOB RATING – BY PARTY & IDEOLOGY

“How would you rate the overall job President Barack Obama is doing?”

Base: All adults

Total Political party Political Philosophy
Rep. Dem. Ind. Cons. Mod. Lib.
% % % % % % %
POSITIVE 44 8 78 36 14 49 77
Excellent 10 3 20 5 2 8 24
Pretty good 34 5 58 31 11 41 52
NEGATIVE 56 92 22 64 86 51 23
Only fair 28 32 17 33 30 31 17
Poor 29 59 5 31 56 20 6

Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding

TABLE 3

PRESIDENT OBAMA’S JOB RATING – BY REGION, EDUCATION & GENDER

“How would you rate the overall job President Barack Obama is doing?”

Base: All adults

Total Region Education Gender
East Midwest South West H.S. or less Some college College grad Post grad Men Women
% % % % % % % % % % %
POSITIVE 44 50 44 40 44 39 43 48 62 42 45
Excellent 10 15 6 9 9 10 8 9 15 13 7
Pretty good 34 35 37 31 35 29 35 39 47 30 38
NEGATIVE 56 50 56 60 56 61 57 52 38 58 55
Only fair 28 28 30 27 26 30 29 25 20 25 30
Poor 29 22 27 33 29 31 29 28 18 33 24

Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding

TABLE 4

CONGRESS’ OVERALL JOB RATING

“How would you rate the overall job Congress is doing?”

Base: All adults

Total Political Party
Rep. Dem. Ind.
% % % %
POSITIVE 16 8 25 10
Excellent 3 1 7 2
Pretty good 12 7 19 8
NEGATIVE 84 92 75 90
Only fair 46 43 52 39
Poor 38 48 23 51

Note: Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding

TABLE 5

CONGRESS’ OVERALL JOB RATING – TREND

“How would you rate the overall job the Congress is doing?”

Base: All adults

TREND Positive* Negative**
% %
2011 January 16 84
2010 December 11 89
November 13 87
October 11 89
September 13 87
August 15 85
June 14 86
May 15 85
April 16 84
March 10 90
Jan. 16 84
2009 Dec. 17 83
Oct. 16 84
Sept. 19 81
Aug. 22 78
June 25 75
March 29 71
2008 October 10 86
August 18 77
June 13 83
February 20 76
2007 December 17 79
October 20 77
April 27 69
February 33 62
2006 September 24 73
May 18 80
February 25 71
January 25 72

*Positive = excellent or pretty good.  **Negative = only fair or poor.

Note: Prior to March, 2009, this question was asked by telephone.

TABLE 6

RIGHT DIRECTION OR WRONG TRACK

“Generally speaking, would you say things in the country are going in the right direction or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track?”

Base: All adults

TREND Right Direction Wrong Track
% %
2011 January 37 63
2010 December 29 71
November 33 67
October 34 66
September 36 64
June 34 66
April 39 61
March 33 67
2009 August 46 54
January 19 72
2008 October 11 83
February 23 69
2007 December 18 74
February 29 62
2006 May 24 69
February 32 59
2005 November 27 68
January 46 48
2004 September 38 57
June 35 59
2003 December 35 57
June 44 51
2002 December 36 57
June 46 48
2001 December 65 32
June 43 52
2000 October 50 41
June 40 51
1999 June 37 55
March 47 45
1998 December 43 51
June 48 44
1997 December 39 56
April 36 55
1996 December 38 50
June 29 64
1995 December 26 62
June 24 65
1994 December 29 63
June 28 65
1993 June 21 70
March 39 50
1992 June 12 81
January 20 75
1991 December 17 75
January 58 32

Note: Prior to March, 2009 this question was asked via telephone

TABLE 7

MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE

“What do you think are the two most important issues for the government to address?”

Spontaneous, unprompted replies

Base: All adults

’97 ’98 ’99 ’00 ’01 ’02 ’03 ’04 ’05 ’06 07 08 09 09 10 10 10 10 10 ’11
May Jan Feb Aug Dec Dec June Oct Aug June Oct Oct Mar Nov Jan Apr June Sept Nov Jan
% % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % %
Healthcare (not Medicare) 10 11 12 15 5 10 14 18 11 12 25 22 25 47 45 34 23 24 30 35
Employment/jobs 5 3 4 4 7 8 8 10 3 7 5 5 21 24 31 34 28 37 36 33
The economy (non-specific) 8 9 7 5 32 34 25 28 19 14 13 64 50 34 32 27 28 34 33 24
Budget/Government spending X X X X X X X X X 5 6 2 6 11 7 9 10 11 10 13
Budget deficit/National debt X X X X X X X X X X X X 3 X X 8 8 6 8 12
Immigration 2 1 * 1 1 1 2 2 3 20 12 3 4 5 5 7 12 10 8 8
Education 15 14 21 25 12 11 13 7 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7
Taxes 14 16 12 13 6 5 11 8 5 4 3 6 4 4 4 7 4 7 7 6
Social security 6 6 24 16 3 2 4 4 10 5 3 3 1 2 1 2 2 2 4 3
(The) war X X X X 12 18 8 35 41 27 24 14 9 9 2 6 6 4 4 3
(Programs for) the poor/ poverty 3 2 2 3 1 2 3 * 4 4 4 * 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 3
Environment 3 2 3 3 1 3 2 1 3 3 3 2 3 4 3 3 7 3 2 2
Terrorism X X X X 22 17 11 7 7 4 4 3 4 3 6 2 3 2 2 2
Downsizing government X X X 1 * X X 1 * 1 1 * 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 2
Housing X X X X X 1 1 * * 1 2 2 6 1 1 1 1 2 1 2
Energy X X X X X X 1 1 4 4 1 4 3 1 1 2 5 1 1 1
Foreign policy (non-specific) 3 5 4 3 2 4 2 3 2 2 4 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 1
Homeland/domestic security/public safety X X X X 8 9 3 6 2 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Inflation X X X X X X X X 1 2 3 * 1 1 * * * * 1 1
Bipartisanship X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1
Medicare 4 5 5 6 1 1 4 3 2 1 3 2 * * * * * * 2 1
Gas and oil prices X X X X X X 1 1 10 8 2 1 1 1 * 1 * 1 1 1
Crime/violence 19 13 8 10 1 2 3 1 3 2 2 1 * 1 1 1 * 1 * 1
Afghanistan X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2 * 1
Welfare 14 8 4 2 1 1 3 * 3 1 2 * * 1 * 1 1 1 1 1
Regulating banking/financial services X X X X X X X X X X X * 8 1 3 4 2 2 1 1
Second Amendment (Right to Bear Arms) X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1
Ethics in government * * * * 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1
Human/civil/women’s rights 2 1 * 1 1 1 * 1 1 1 2 * * 1 1 * 1 1 1 1
Homelessness 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 * 1 1 3 * * 1 1 * * 1 * 1
National security X X 2 2 6 3 6 5 2 2 2 5 2 1 4 3 2 2 1 1
Military/defense 2 2 2 4 4 1 5 3 1 4 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Business accountability/bailouts X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 2 1 1
Income gap/Wealth distribution/Middle class X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 1
Religion (decline of) * 1 * 1 2 1 1 1 * 1 1 * * * * 1 1 1 1 *
Same sex rights X X X X X X X 1 1 2 * * 1 1 1 1 * * 1 *
Obama/president X X X X X X X X X X 1 * * 1 1 1 1 1 1 *
Infrastructure X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X *
Abortion 2 2 2 6 1 1 1 4 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 * * * * *
Programs for the elderly (not Medicare/Social Security) 1 1 1 2 1 1 3 * * * 1 1 * * * * * * * *
Judicial/Legal Issues X X X X X X X * 2 1 1 * 1 1 1 1 1 * * *
Iraq * * 1 X X 11 3 9 6 8 14 7 2 4 2 2 2 * 1 *
Other1 8 19 2 19 3 8 8 8 1 6 5 15 5 3 1 3 2 5 6 5
Not sure/refused/no issue 9 12 16 18 11 10 12 9 8 6 8 4 4 3 2 2 4 1 2 4

* = Less than 0.5%, X = Not mentioned as specific issue

1 Including prescription drug prices, credit problems, trade, disability, corporate scandals, right to bear arms, youth and government (other)

Note: Prior to March, 2009, this question was asked via telephone

Methodology

This Harris Poll was conducted online within the United States between January 17 to 24, 2011 among 2,566 adults (aged 18 and over). Figures for age, sex, race/ethnicity, education, region and household income were weighted where necessary to bring them into line with their actual proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be online.

All sample surveys and polls, whether or not they use probability sampling, are subject to multiple sources of error which are most often not possible to quantify or estimate, including sampling error, coverage error, error associated with nonresponse, error associated with question wording and response options, and post-survey weighting and adjustments. Therefore, Harris Interactive avoids the words “margin of error” as they are misleading. All that can be calculated are different possible sampling errors with different probabilities for pure, unweighted, random samples with 100% response rates. These are only theoretical because no published polls come close to this ideal.

Respondents for this survey were selected from among those who have agreed to participate in Harris Interactive surveys. The data have been weighted to reflect the composition of the adult population. Because the sample is based on those who agreed to participate in the Harris Interactive panel, no estimates of theoretical sampling error can be calculated.

These statements conform to the principles of disclosure of the National Council on Public Polls.